How can Northern Territory possibly become a state?

Nic Crowther
Fri 24 Jul

One of the more interesting (dare, say ’fanciful’) outcomes of this week's States and Territories love-fest was the Northern Territory’s decision to push towards full statehood. This was surprising to say the least – especially coming from a jurisdiction that recently changed its Chief Minister twice in 24 hours.

It’s hardly the model for full governmental independence.

The Northern Territory is one of a tripartite of smaller jurisdictions – the others being The ACT and Tasmania - that are struggling with economics and independence. A close look at some of the key statistics for each reveals some interesting numbers – especially when we consider Federal representation.

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NORTHERN TERRITORY



Image: NT News (Elise Derwin)

 

Current status: The enfant terrible of the bunch, it’s been only 17 years since their last referendum on full statehood. In 1998 they decided on staying a territory (much to the surprise of nearly everyone), after voting down a referendum that would have granted them only three senators in the Federal upper house (all other states have twelve).

The numbers: The NT has a population of 243,000 people with a product per capita (PPC) of $86,516. This revenue appears surprising, however is bolstered by the high percentage of government employees that manage the challenges of such a remote environment (0.17 people per square kilometre).

Key challenge: As a Territory, this jurisdiction receives large amounts of Commonwealth funding. Should those costs be transferred to the government of a newly-minted state, it’s difficult to see what revenue streams are available to meet the high costs of a dispersed population.

 

AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY

 

 

Current status: Canberra is both a city in the ACT and a place blamed for everything that goes wrong in the country. It’s perceived as being filled with politicians, but in fact has only two Senators and two Members of Parliament. With a high socio-economic demographic thanks to government employment, it’s Australia’s own Washington DC.

The numbers: Small and rich. That’s the best way to look at the ACT. While it might not be riding the gravy train it enjoyed prior to attaining self-government in 1997, it still enjoys significant Federal support. A population of 385,000 is comparatively crowded at 160/sq km it has the highest GDP in Australia with PPC of $92,140.

Key challenge: Economically, the ACT has had an income double-whammy through the Mr Fluffy asbestos crisis and falling stamp duty revenues. Structurally, Chief Minister Andrew Barr has walked away from any desire to be a full state, despite being in a much better position to achieve it than Northern Territory.


TASMANIA


 

Current status: A fully-fledged state with the full complement of government mechanisms. The State government of Tasmania has a lower house comprised of 40 members and an upper house of 15 members. Tasmania also has Federal representation through a full suite of 12 Senators and five members of the House of Representatives.

The numbers: Tasmania is the smallest state and the least-productive federal jurisdiction in Australia. With a PPC of only $48,378 and it has long cried poor and is one of the largest recipients of GST per head of a population spread across 7.24/sq km.

The challenge: Employment and retention of talent. While one of the most beautiful environments in Australia, and well-known for the quality of its produce, young Tasmanians continue to flee to the mainland, depriving the state of new industry and subsequent revenue streams.

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So what?

All we can really deduce from this is that the region most capable of being a state is the ACT – and shows no interest in doing so. The one that wants to be a state (Northern Territory) would be broke in a heartbeat, and the only state among the three (Tasmania) is probably deserving of a Federal take-over, if it’s high level of external funding didn’t suggest this had effectively already happened.

Welcome to Australia. To an outsider, its governance makes as much sense as its wildlife.